Braves vs Rays Prediction - MLB Picks 7/7/23

Tampa Bay Rays (57-33) vs Atlanta Braves (58-28)

Game Info: Friday, July 7, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Tropicana Field)

Tyler Glasnow (2-2) (4.50) vs Charlie Morton (8-6) (3.57)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -115 / Atlanta Braves -105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Atlanta Braves will play the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 58-28 this season and they have won 10 of their last 11 Games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Cleveland, where they won two out of three Games. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average this year. The Braves offense has scored 487 runs with a .274 batting average and a .342 on base percentage. Ronald Acuna is batting .337 with 21 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 8-6 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 90.2 innings pitched this season.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 57-33 this season and they have lost five games in a row. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series loss to the Phillies, where they lost all three games in the series. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 494 runs with a .260 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Randy Arozarena is batting .282 with 16 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Tyler Glasnow, who is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this year.

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Trends

Atlanta is 7-1 in their last 8 interleague Games and 8-2 in their last 10 road Games. The under is 5-2-1 in Atlanta’s last 8 Friday Games. Tampa Bay is 6-0 in their last 6 Friday Games and 52-21 in their last 73 home Games. The over is 4-0-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 5 Friday Games. The under is 10-3 in these two teams last 13 head to head meetings in Tampa Bay.

Pick

The Rays come into this series struggling and they have lost five Games in a row, while Atlanta is one of the hottest teams in baseball. Tampa Bay had been very good at home this season, but they just got swept at home by the Phillies. Tampa Bay is starting Tyler Glasnow, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five Games. Atlanta is starting Charlie Morton, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. I am going to take the Braves in this Game, as they have been the better team recently. 

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