Phillies vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 8/18/23

Washington Nationals (55-67) vs Philadelphia Phillies (66-55)

Game Info: Friday, August 18, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Joan Adon (1-0) (5.14) vs Michael Lorenzen (7-7) (3.23)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +170 / Philadelphia Phillies -205 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Washington Nationals in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The Nationals have played some of their best baseball recently, while Philadelphia has not won a series in their last two tries. These two teams played about a week ago, with Philadelphia winning three out of four Games. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 66-55 this season and they have lost three of their last four Games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series split with the Blue Jays, where they won one Game and lost one Game. The Phillies offense has gone cold in their last four Games, scoring six runs in the four Games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average this year. The Phillies offense has scored 560 runs with a .255 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber is batting .180 with 30 home runs and 74 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Michael Lorenzen, who is 7-7 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 122.2 innings pitched this season.

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 55-67 this season and they have won five of their last six Games. Washington is coming off of a series win against Boston, where they won two out of three Games. The Nationals offense has hit the ball well lately, scoring six runs or more in three of their last four Games. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.88 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, and a .268 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 537 runs with a .259 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Lane Thomas is batting .281 with 20 home runs and 68 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Joan Adon, who is 1-0 with a 5.14 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 14 innings pitched this year.

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Matchup/League Facts

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 6th in the league for doubles this season (224).

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T6th in the league for triples this season (21).

The Washington Nationals ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (870).

The Washington Nationals ranks 5th in the league for hits this season (1081).

Pick

The Phillies won three out of four Games against Washington just a few series ago, but Washington has played very well since that point. The Nationals are last in the NL East, but Philadelphia doesn’t play great on the road. Washington is starting Joan Adon, who has allowed five earned runs in his last 11 innings of work. Philadelphia is starting Michael Lorenzen, who has allowed two earned runs in 17 innings pitched for the Phillies this year. Lorenzen threw a no hitter against the Nationals in his last start. I like how Washington has played recently and I am going to take them +1.5 here. 

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